08

外儲重回3.2萬億美元大關 創2016年5月以來新高

2020年(nian)(nian)我(wo)(wo)(wo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)實現(xian)(xian)了增(zeng)長(chang)1086億(yi)(yi)美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)的(de)(de)“好成(cheng)績”。1月7日(ri)，國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)管(guan)(guan)理(li)(li)(li)局(ju)公布的(de)(de)最新(xin)(xin)數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)顯(xian)示(shi)，截至2020年(nian)(nian)12月末(mo)，我(wo)(wo)(wo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)規(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)為(wei)32165億(yi)(yi)美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，較11月末(mo)上(shang)(shang)(shang)升(sheng)380億(yi)(yi)美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，升(sheng)幅為(wei)1.2%。 　　外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)重(zhong)新(xin)(xin)站上(shang)(shang)(shang)3.2萬億(yi)(yi)美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)大關，創2016年(nian)(nian)5月以來(lai)(lai)新(xin)(xin)高。推動(dong)(dong)去(qu)年(nian)(nian)12月外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)增(zeng)加的(de)(de)原(yuan)因依然是匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)率(lv)(lv)折算(suan)和(he)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)變化(hua)等綜(zong)合(he)(he)因素，國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)管(guan)(guan)理(li)(li)(li)局(ju)副(fu)局(ju)長(chang)、新(xin)(xin)聞發(fa)言人王春(chun)英(ying)解讀稱，2020年(nian)(nian)12月，我(wo)(wo)(wo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)運行(xing)總(zong)(zong)體穩(wen)(wen)(wen)(wen)定(ding)(ding)(ding)，市(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)交易理(li)(li)(li)性有(you)序。國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)際(ji)金融(rong)(rong)(rong)(rong)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)上(shang)(shang)(shang)，受新(xin)(xin)冠(guan)肺炎疫苗進展(zhan)、主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)要國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)貨(huo)幣(bi)及財(cai)政(zheng)政(zheng)策等影響，美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)指數(shu)(shu)(shu)下(xia)跌，非(fei)美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)貨(huo)幣(bi)及主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)要國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)均(jun)有(you)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲。外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)以美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)為(wei)計價(jia)(jia)貨(huo)幣(bi)，非(fei)美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)貨(huo)幣(bi)折算(suan)成(cheng)美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)后金額增(zeng)加，加上(shang)(shang)(shang)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲等因素共同(tong)(tong)作用，當月外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)規(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)上(shang)(shang)(shang)升(sheng)。 　　民(min)生(sheng)銀(yin)行(xing)首(shou)(shou)席研(yan)究員溫彬對(dui)(dui)記(ji)者(zhe)表(biao)示(shi)，從(cong)主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)要匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)率(lv)(lv)變動(dong)(dong)看，12月美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)率(lv)(lv)指數(shu)(shu)(shu)下(xia)跌2.1%收(shou)于89.9，非(fei)美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)貨(huo)幣(bi)相對(dui)(dui)美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)整體上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲；從(cong)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)變動(dong)(dong)上(shang)(shang)(shang)看，主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)要國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)整體上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲。綜(zong)合(he)(he)考慮匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)率(lv)(lv)折算(suan)和(he)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)變化(hua)效應(ying)，外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)形成(cheng)估值(zhi)增(zeng)加。 　　同(tong)(tong)時(shi)(shi)(shi)，真實貿易和(he)跨(kua)(kua)(kua)境(jing)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)本(ben)流(liu)(liu)動(dong)(dong)對(dui)(dui)12月外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)規(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)增(zeng)長(chang)亦形成(cheng)貢(gong)獻。溫彬稱，海外(wai)(wai)(wai)主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)要經(jing)(jing)濟體整體呈現(xian)(xian)復(fu)蘇態(tai)勢(shi)，海外(wai)(wai)(wai)經(jing)(jing)濟景氣的(de)(de)回升(sheng)，有(you)助于帶動(dong)(dong)外(wai)(wai)(wai)需(xu)增(zeng)加，對(dui)(dui)我(wo)(wo)(wo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)出口形成(cheng)利(li)好。資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)本(ben)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)整體向好，跨(kua)(kua)(kua)境(jing)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)金呈流(liu)(liu)入態(tai)勢(shi)。貿易和(he)跨(kua)(kua)(kua)境(jing)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)本(ben)流(liu)(liu)入對(dui)(dui)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)規(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)形成(cheng)貢(gong)獻。 　　展(zhan)望未來(lai)(lai)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)形勢(shi)，主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)流(liu)(liu)觀(guan)(guan)(guan)點認(ren)為(wei)我(wo)(wo)(wo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)將(jiang)繼續(xu)保(bao)(bao)持(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)(wen)定(ding)(ding)(ding)。王春(chun)英(ying)表(biao)示(shi)，展(zhan)望未來(lai)(lai)，世界經(jing)(jing)濟形勢(shi)復(fu)雜嚴(yan)峻，疫情(qing)沖擊導(dao)致的(de)(de)衍生(sheng)風(feng)險不容忽視(shi)，國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)際(ji)金融(rong)(rong)(rong)(rong)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)仍存在較多不確(que)定(ding)(ding)(ding)因素。但(dan)我(wo)(wo)(wo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)有(you)條件繼續(xu)保(bao)(bao)持(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)平穩(wen)(wen)(wen)(wen)、均(jun)衡運行(xing)，外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)規(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)也將(jiang)總(zong)(zong)體穩(wen)(wen)(wen)(wen)定(ding)(ding)(ding)。 　　溫彬也表(biao)示(shi)，我(wo)(wo)(wo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)規(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)將(jiang)繼續(xu)保(bao)(bao)持(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)(wen)定(ding)(ding)(ding)。一方(fang)面，我(wo)(wo)(wo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)經(jing)(jing)濟復(fu)蘇形勢(shi)持(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)續(xu)向好，2020年(nian)(nian)經(jing)(jing)濟能(neng)夠實現(xian)(xian)正增(zeng)長(chang)，在全球(qiu)范(fan)圍內(nei)保(bao)(bao)持(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)領先，為(wei)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)規(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)保(bao)(bao)持(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)(wen)定(ding)(ding)(ding)奠定(ding)(ding)(ding)了堅實基礎。另(ling)一方(fang)面，我(wo)(wo)(wo)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)(guan)調(diao)(diao)控、外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)管(guan)(guan)理(li)(li)(li)等政(zheng)策審(shen)(shen)時(shi)(shi)(shi)度勢(shi)，2020年(nian)(nian)以來(lai)(lai)通過(guo)淡出使用“逆周(zhou)期(qi)調(diao)(diao)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)因子(zi)”，調(diao)(diao)整遠期(qi)售(shou)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)業務的(de)(de)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)風(feng)險準(zhun)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)金率(lv)(lv)、跨(kua)(kua)(kua)境(jing)融(rong)(rong)(rong)(rong)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)(guan)審(shen)(shen)慎(shen)(shen)(shen)調(diao)(diao)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)參(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)、境(jing)內(nei)企(qi)業境(jing)外(wai)(wai)(wai)放款宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)(guan)審(shen)(shen)慎(shen)(shen)(shen)調(diao)(diao)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)系數(shu)(shu)(shu)等引導(dao)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)預(yu)期(qi)，促進人民(min)幣(bi)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)率(lv)(lv)在均(jun)衡合(he)(he)理(li)(li)(li)水平雙向波動(dong)(dong)，維(wei)護跨(kua)(kua)(kua)境(jing)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)本(ben)流(liu)(liu)動(dong)(dong)基本(ben)平衡與(yu)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)平穩(wen)(wen)(wen)(wen)運行(xing)，為(wei)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)儲(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)(chu)備(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)(bei)規(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)保(bao)(bao)持(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)(wen)定(ding)(ding)(ding)提(ti)供保(bao)(bao)障。 　　1月7日(ri)，央行(xing)、國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)局(ju)發(fa)布消息稱，決定(ding)(ding)(ding)將(jiang)企(qi)業的(de)(de)跨(kua)(kua)(kua)境(jing)融(rong)(rong)(rong)(rong)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)(guan)審(shen)(shen)慎(shen)(shen)(shen)調(diao)(diao)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)參(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)由1.25下(xia)調(diao)(diao)至1。這(zhe)是繼去(qu)年(nian)(nian)12月將(jiang)金融(rong)(rong)(rong)(rong)機構跨(kua)(kua)(kua)境(jing)融(rong)(rong)(rong)(rong)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)(guan)審(shen)(shen)慎(shen)(shen)(shen)調(diao)(diao)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)參(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)從(cong)1.25下(xia)調(diao)(diao)至1后，再將(jiang)企(qi)業該參(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)下(xia)調(diao)(diao)。 　　中銀(yin)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)際(ji)證券(quan)全球(qiu)首(shou)(shou)席經(jing)(jing)濟學(xue)家(jia)管(guan)(guan)濤此前(qian)對(dui)(dui)證券(quan)時(shi)(shi)(shi)報記(ji)者(zhe)表(biao)示(shi)，下(xia)調(diao)(diao)跨(kua)(kua)(kua)境(jing)融(rong)(rong)(rong)(rong)資(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)(guan)審(shen)(shen)慎(shen)(shen)(shen)調(diao)(diao)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)參(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)，屬(shu)于逆周(zhou)期(qi)調(diao)(diao)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)，同(tong)(tong)時(shi)(shi)(shi)也屬(shu)于應(ying)對(dui)(dui)疫情(qing)的(de)(de)臨時(shi)(shi)(shi)性政(zheng)策退出。人民(min)幣(bi)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)率(lv)(lv)已經(jing)(jing)持(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)續(xu)升(sheng)值(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)月，通過(guo)宏(hong)觀(guan)(guan)(guan)審(shen)(shen)慎(shen)(shen)(shen)系數(shu)(shu)(shu)逆周(zhou)期(qi)調(diao)(diao)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)，釋放信(xin)號，促成(cheng)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)預(yu)期(qi)分化(hua)，促進外(wai)(wai)(wai)匯(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)(hui)收(shou)支平衡。